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“I want a priest, a rabbi and a Protestant clergyman,” he managed to flash back. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market. Every bet on the crap layout has a negative expectation....
But if you followed trusted lines rather than most of the polls in the 2012 presidential race you knew the results well ahead of November 4th – much to the chagrin of the losing side.In 1933, Wilson Mizner lay dying. “Do you want a priest?” he was asked, during an interval of consciousness....
But if you followed trusted lines rather than most of the polls in the 2012 presidential race you knew the results well ahead of November 4th – much to the chagrin of the losing side. There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries. Overall pollsters are still giving Hillary Clinton favorable odds of besting both fields to take the office of President of the United States – but the race is wide open with multiple variables....
Dear Mark: When playing craps, I am aware that it is best to stay away from any prop box bets. But when playing the don’t pass line for a bet with a max lay of , if the point is a 4 or 10, is it wise to hedge this bet with a hard 4 or 10? Bill P. Democrat leaning Indies can choose the republican they are most sure their desired nominee will trounce in the general election and buoy him or her by voting for the other side in the primary, then casting a ballot for their favored party’s nominee in November....
Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game.You can’t, Bill, have it both ways. But the odds are all over the place with Paddy Power favoring Trump at 1/6 and Rubio 4/1, while Betfair is ranking Trump, Kasich, Rubio and Cruz....
