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You cannot protect yourself “here” without being hurt “there. New Hampshire voters will choose between two Democrats and a field of Republican candidates.Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game....
He was fifty-eight, and all his life he had been a gamester. He was fifty-eight, and all his life he had been a gamester. Here you have the Independent voter who can vote as a Republican or Democrat and that adds some chaos to a mix that already holds the free radical game changing Donald Trump....
Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game. There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries. Democrat leaning Indies can choose the republican they are most sure their desired nominee will trounce in the general election and buoy him or her by voting for the other side in the primary, then casting a ballot for their favored party’s nominee in November....
There is also enough variance in the early field that you could treat the primaries like propositions and hedge your bets once the momentum has gelled later in the primaries.Bettors who can remove emotion from their politics and are allowed to bet on such things mablackjack vs casino war ewjzy find a gold mine in Trump’s numbers.This early in the game the sports betting sites will start to see new blood with day traders taking some of their Wall Street efforts to the books and Daily Fantasy Sports players trying something new with better hopes of winning than they may find against the DFS sharks....
The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market.My advice to you, Bill, is to pass on hedge betting, stick to the don’t pass, and reduce that minuscule 1.Sports betting sites will take your action (where it is legal to bet on such things) and the odds are all over the place in a way you would never see in such contests as the Super Bowl or a footie match with reams of stats and plenty of known commodities; in fact it’s a game where a dart throw to pick the winner could pay off handsomely....
