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Are bookies better at predicting elections than the national polls? That question has yes and no answers, and to our knowledge has never been determined by a recognized and scientifically controlled study. What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11. New Hampshire voters will choose between two Democrats and a field of Republican candidates....


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Every bet on the crap layout has a negative expectation. Here you have the Independent voter who can vote as a Republican or Democrat and that adds some chaos to a mix that already holds the free radical game changing Donald Trump. You cannot protect yourself “here” without being hurt “there....


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Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game.Dear Mark: When playing craps, I am aware that it is best to stay away from any prop box bets.New Hampshire offers particularly good variables for a gambling, rather than fact-based bettor....