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Are bookies better at predicting elections than the national polls? That question has yes and no answers, and to our knowledge has never been determined by a recognized and scientifically controlled study. The logic here is analogous to diversifying your investment portfolio by buying bonds to “protect” against losses that you might experience in the stock market.Dear Mark: When playing craps, I am aware that it is best to stay away from any prop box bets....

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“Hedging” your bet in craps is when you make one bet with the erroneous belief it will “protect” another wager somewhere else on the layout. But if you followed trusted lines rather than most of the polls in the 2012 presidential race you knew the results well ahead of November 4th – much to the chagrin of the losing side.nominees they’d like to send to Washington....

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If history is any indicator, Bovada appears to be the crystal ball for November. What you are doing is taking a high-house-edge bet on the hard 4 or 10 (the hard 4 and 10 carry a casino advantage of 11. The sword cuts both ways – if a Republican (registered as an Independent) thinks any eventual candidate would do better than Sanders or Clinton in November, they can vote for the weaker Democrat Tuesday....

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Here you have the Independent voter who can vote as a Republican or Democrat and that adds some chaos to a mix that already holds the free radical game changing Donald Trump. “Do you want a priest?” he was asked, during an interval of consciousness.In 1933, Wilson Mizner lay dying....

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But if you followed trusted lines rather than most of the polls in the 2012 presidential race you knew the results well ahead of November 4th – much to the chagrin of the losing side.”Was it was a good move on Mizner’s part? Perhaps, but when it comes to the game of craps, my advice remains the same: Never hedge your bets.Hedge betting by using one wager to offset the “negative probabilities” of another wager is just not smart betting on a crap game....